Language:English
Alexander Blockx v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Prediction 81.03%1.23fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -13.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%80.89%81.04%82.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.171.181.2086.96%85.11%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit)
Prediction 18.97%5.27fair odd
EV +9.29%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.181%
assuming max odds 5.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.12%19.11%18.96%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.965.005.7622.73%20.16%20.00%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Blockx (Local): 81.03%; Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit): 18.97%. For Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.88%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 17.12%EV +9.29%E +1.61%K +1.95%G +0.181% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.39%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.61%EV +4.74%E +0.858%K +1.05%G +0.050% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.80%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.20%EV +1.51%E +0.282%K +0.347%G +0.005% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.80%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.20%EV +1.51%E +0.282%K +0.347%G +0.005% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +0.561%E +0.106%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.388%E -0.074%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.388%E -0.074%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.70%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.30%EV -1.72%E -0.331%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 07:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -6.08%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.21%EV -7.41%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.98%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 06:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.98%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 16:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -10.82%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -11.01%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -11.01%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 04:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 04:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.52%E -3.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |