Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Blockx v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Início: 2026-08-31 20:49 UTC

Final: Alexander Blockx 3–0 Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Previsão 81.03%1.23odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -13.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.85%80.89%81.04%82.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.171.181.2086.96%85.11%84.75%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visitante)

Previsão 18.97%5.27odd justa
EV +9.29%
Vantagem +1.61%
Kelly +1.95%
Crescimento +0.181%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.12%19.11%18.96%21.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.404.965.005.7622.73%20.16%20.00%17.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexander Blockx (Local): 81.03%; Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visitante): 18.97%. Para Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.27. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.76, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.29%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 82.88%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 17.12%EV +9.29%E +1.61%K +1.95%G +0.181%1.4%2026-08-31 20:45
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.39%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.61%EV +4.74%E +0.858%K +1.05%G +0.050%2.9%2026-08-31 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.80%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.20%EV +1.51%E +0.282%K +0.347%G +0.005%2.7%2026-08-31 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.80%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.20%EV +1.51%E +0.282%K +0.347%G +0.005%2.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +0.561%E +0.106%K +0.130%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-31 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.388%E -0.074%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-31 16:05
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.388%E -0.074%K -0.091%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.70%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.30%EV -1.72%E -0.331%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 12:30
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 20:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 20:40
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 19:09
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 15:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 07:10
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 12:30
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:05
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 16:05
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 20:40
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 20:40
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -6.08%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 06:15
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.21%EV -7.41%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.98%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 06:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.98%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 19:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 19:05
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 16:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -10.82%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 06:15
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -11.01%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 19:11
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -11.01%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 04:54
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 04:55
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.52%E -3.75%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 18:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-08-31 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-08-31 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-08-31 19:50
ProphetX◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-08-31 20:45
Matchbook◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-08-31 20:45
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-08-31 19:11
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%2.0%2026-08-31 19:50
Novig◎1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97%5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03%2.5%2026-08-31 19:45