Idioma:Español
Alexander Blockx v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Resultado del partido
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Predicción 78.92%1.27momio equitativo
EV +4.17%
Ventaja +3.16%
Kelly +13.04%
Crecimiento +0.544%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.35%78.67%78.71%81.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.151.191.171.3286.96%83.97%85.47%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visitante)
Predicción 21.08%4.74momio equitativo
EV +9.83%
Ventaja +1.89%
Kelly +2.34%
Crecimiento +0.230%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.21%21.33%21.29%26.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.554.474.405.2128.17%22.38%22.73%19.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alexander Blockx (Local): 78.92%; Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visitante): 21.08%. Para Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.74. 8 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.21, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +9.83%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (21 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.66%EV +4.17%E +3.16%K +13.04%G +0.544% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.34%EV -17.99%E -4.63%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV +1.81%E +1.40%K +6.23%G +0.112% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -25.16%E -7.09%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -1.35%E -1.08%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -8.72%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.30%E -4.41%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.135%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 23:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.30%E -4.41%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.13%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.30%E -4.41%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.24%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 01:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.09%E -5.11%K -32.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.24%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.35%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.35%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.41%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 00:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.66%E -6.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.41%E +1.08%K +1.35%G +0.073% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.66%E -6.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.41%E +1.08%K +1.35%G +0.073% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.66%E -6.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +5.41%E +1.08%K +1.35%G +0.073% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -7.66%E -6.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +2.24%E +0.463%K +0.583%G +0.013% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 01:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -7.66%E -6.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -13.57%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -7.66%E -6.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -13.57%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 00:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.59%EV -7.66%E -6.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.41%EV -14.62%E -3.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.79%EV -8.45%E -7.29%K -52.84%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.21%EV +9.83%E +1.89%K +2.34%G +0.230% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 00:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -8.45%E -7.29%K -52.84%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV +5.19%E +1.04%K +1.30%G +0.068% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -8.45%E -7.29%K -52.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -16.73%E -4.24%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -9.24%E -8.04%K -61.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +3.30%E +0.673%K +0.846%G +0.028% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 00:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.70% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 30.30% | 19.6% | 2026-08-29 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 50.00% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 50.00% | 92.3% | 2026-08-29 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 49.76% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 50.24% | 95.1% | 2026-08-29 01:50 |
Arbitraje (25 combinaciones) +5.32%1xBet 1.32 (79.8%) / DraftKings 5.21 (20.2%)Ver las 25 combinaciones
| Alexander Blockx (Local) | Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visitante) | Margen |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (79.8%) | DraftKings🎯 5.21 (20.2%) | +5.32% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (79.1%) | 888sport🎯 5.00 (20.9%) | +4.43% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (79.1%) | Mr Green (SE)🎯 5.00 (20.9%) | +4.43% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (79.1%) | 888sport (SE)🎯 5.00 (20.9%) | +4.43% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (79.1%) | GTbets🎯 4.99 (20.9%) | +4.39% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (78.8%) | SportsBet🎯 4.90 (21.2%) | +3.99% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (78.6%) | theScore Bet🎯 4.85 (21.4%) | +3.76% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 1.29 (80.2%) | DraftKings🎯 5.21 (19.8%) | +3.40% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (78.3%) | Bovada🎯 4.75 (21.7%) | +3.29% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 1.29 (79.5%) | 888sport🎯 5.00 (20.5%) | +2.54% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 1.29 (79.5%) | Mr Green (SE)🎯 5.00 (20.5%) | +2.54% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 1.29 (79.5%) | 888sport (SE)🎯 5.00 (20.5%) | +2.54% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 1.29 (79.5%) | GTbets🎯 4.99 (20.5%) | +2.50% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 1.29 (79.2%) | SportsBet🎯 4.90 (20.8%) | +2.12% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (77.3%) | Fanatics🎯 4.50 (22.7%) | +2.06% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 1.29 (79.0%) | theScore Bet🎯 4.85 (21.0%) | +1.90% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (76.9%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.40 (23.1%) | +1.54% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (76.9%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 4.40 (23.1%) | +1.54% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 1.29 (78.6%) | Bovada🎯 4.75 (21.4%) | +1.45% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (76.6%) | betano_uk🎯 4.33 (23.4%) | +1.16% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (76.5%) | MyBookie.ag🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.996% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (76.5%) | Winamax (DE)🎯 4.30 (23.5%) | +0.996% |
| betano_uk🎯 1.25 (80.7%) | DraftKings🎯 5.21 (19.3%) | +0.813% |
| 1xBet🎯 1.32 (76.3%) | LeoVegas🎯 4.25 (23.7%) | +0.718% |
| Marathon Bet🎯 1.29 (77.7%) | Fanatics🎯 4.50 (22.3%) | +0.259% |