Langue:Français
Alexander Blockx v Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alexander Blockx (Local)
Prévision 81.03%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -13.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.85%80.89%81.04%82.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.171.181.2086.96%85.11%84.75%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.97%5.27cote équitable
EV +9.29%
Avantage +1.61%
Kelly +1.95%
Croissance +0.181%
avec la cote maximale 5.76
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.12%19.11%18.96%21.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.965.005.7622.73%20.16%20.00%17.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alexander Blockx (Local) : 81.03% ; Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visiteur) : 18.97%. Pour Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.27. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.76, soit une espérance positive de +9.29%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.88%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 17.12%EV +9.29%E +1.61%K +1.95%G +0.181% | 1.4% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.39%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.61%EV +4.74%E +0.858%K +1.05%G +0.050% | 2.9% | 2026-08-31 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.80%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.20%EV +1.51%E +0.282%K +0.347%G +0.005% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.80%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.20%EV +1.51%E +0.282%K +0.347%G +0.005% | 2.7% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +0.561%E +0.106%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.388%E -0.074%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.388%E -0.074%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.70%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.30%EV -1.72%E -0.331%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.23%E -0.634%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 15:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 07:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.13%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -6.08%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.03%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.79%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.56%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.21%EV -7.41%E -1.52%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 17:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.98%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 06:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.98%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.93%E -1.86%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 16:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -10.82%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 06:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -11.01%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.90%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.10%EV -11.01%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 04:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.44%K -30.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.62%E -3.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 04:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.52%E -3.75%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 20:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-31 19:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.97% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 18.03% | 2.5% | 2026-08-31 19:45 |