Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Gael Monfils

Início: 2026-09-01 23:04 UTC

Final: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1–3 Gael Monfils

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)

Previsão 55.93%1.79odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.566%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%55.82%55.84%57.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.49%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gael Monfils (Visitante)

Previsão 44.07%2.27odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -0.976%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.64%44.18%44.16%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.122.2250.00%46.97%47.17%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 55.93%; Gael Monfils (Visitante): 44.07%. Para Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.79. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.77, com valor esperado de -1.00%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.00%E -0.566%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 14:26
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:50
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 09:49
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:49
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:51
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:51
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:51
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 11:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 22:16
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:10
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:33
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:50
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:58
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:35
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.01%E -3.32%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 09:49
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 20:35
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 22:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:15
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:00
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.37%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:40
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:40
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 05:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:50
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 20:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 20:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 20:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-01 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-01 22:50
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-01 22:50
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-01 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-09-01 23:00
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-01 19:30
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-09-01 23:00
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-09-01 23:00