Idioma:Español
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Gael Monfils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)
Predicción 55.93%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.566%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.82%55.84%57.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.49%58.48%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gael Monfils (Visitante)
Predicción 44.07%2.27momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -0.976%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%44.18%44.16%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.122.2250.00%46.97%47.17%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 55.93%; Gael Monfils (Visitante): 44.07%. Para Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.79. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.77, con un valor esperado de -1.00%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.00%E -0.566%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 22:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.01%E -3.32%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 20:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.37%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 05:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.6% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |