Langue:Français
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Gael Monfils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)
Prévision 55.93%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.566%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%55.82%55.84%57.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.49%58.48%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Gael Monfils (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.07%2.27cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.976%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.64%44.18%44.16%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.122.2250.00%46.97%47.17%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local) : 55.93% ; Gael Monfils (Visiteur) : 44.07%. Pour Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.79. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.77, pour une espérance de -1.00% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.00%E -0.566%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 22:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.01%E -3.32%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 20:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.37%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 05:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.6% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |