Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Gael Monfils

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Casa)

Previsione 60.08%1.66quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.899%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.44%60.09%60.05%60.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.571.561.6467.57%63.73%63.90%60.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Gael Monfils (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.92%2.50quota equa
EV -0.989%
Vantaggio -0.399%
Kelly -0.668%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.24%39.91%39.95%41.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.372.402.4846.51%42.25%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Casa): 60.08%; Gael Monfils (Trasferta): 39.92%. Per Gael Monfils (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.50. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.48, con un valore atteso del -0.989%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -1.48%E -0.899%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-27 22:00
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%EV -2.08%E -1.27%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%EV -0.989%E -0.399%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-27 22:35
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-27 22:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 00:50
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.17%E -4.52%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 00:50
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -6.58%E -2.81%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:10
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.58%E -1.92%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 22:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.98%E -2.09%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:01
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:00
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 23:14
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.18%E -2.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.18%E -1.74%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 22:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.18%E -3.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.23%EV -11.09%E -7.49%K -23.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -14.16%E -6.59%K -12.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-27 22:31
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%12.1%2026-08-28 01:10