Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Casa): 55.93%; Gael Monfils (Trasferta): 44.07%. Per Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.79. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.77, con un valore atteso del -1.00%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.00%E -0.566%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:51 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 22:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 22:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 20:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.01%E -3.32%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 09:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 20:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.37%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 05:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 20:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 22:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 20:40 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75% | 1.6% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 23:00 |