StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Gael Monfils

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-01 23:04 UTC

Endstand: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1–3 Gael Monfils

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Heim)

Prognose 55.93%1.79faire Quote
EV -1.00%
Vorteil -0.566%
Kelly -1.30%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.05%55.82%55.84%57.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.49%58.48%56.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Gael Monfils (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.07%2.27faire Quote
EV -2.17%
Vorteil -0.976%
Kelly -1.78%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.22

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.64%44.18%44.16%46.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.132.122.2250.00%46.97%47.17%45.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Heim): 55.93%; Gael Monfils (Auswärts): 44.07%. Für Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.79. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.77, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.00%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.00%E -0.566%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.86%E -5.93%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 14:26
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-01 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:50
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 09:49
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:49
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:51
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:51
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:51
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -8.34%E -4.01%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 11:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.24%E -1.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 22:16
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.80%E -2.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:10
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:33
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.81%E -2.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:50
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:58
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.57%E -3.10%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 20:35
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.01%E -3.32%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.36%E -2.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.66%E -4.71%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 09:49
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 20:35
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.93%E -1.80%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 22:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:15
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:00
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.92%E -2.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.37%E -2.01%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.48%E -3.24%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:40
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:40
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.04%E -3.59%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 20:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.05%E -1.39%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:40
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 20:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 05:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:50
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.60%E -3.95%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.45%E -3.55%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 20:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -7.15%E -4.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -3.49%E -1.59%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -2.17%E -0.976%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 20:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.71%E -4.68%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.25%E -2.44%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 20:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-01 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-01 22:50
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-09-01 22:50
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-01 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-09-01 23:00
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-01 19:30
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-09-01 23:00
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-09-01 23:00