Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stan Wawrinka v Jiri Lehecka

2026-10-27 11:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stan Wawrinka (Local)

Prediction 19.93%5.02fair odd
EV +4.62%
Edge +0.880%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.97%20.05%19.83%21.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.714.795.2524.39%21.23%20.88%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Visit)

Prediction 80.07%1.25fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -14.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.24%79.95%80.17%82.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.84%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Stan Wawrinka (Local): 19.93%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 80.07%. For Stan Wawrinka (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.02. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.25, producing a positive expected value of +4.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +4.62%E +0.880%K +1.09%G +0.050%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.92%E -6.88%K -52.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
Pinnacle🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV -0.360%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -3.11%E -2.57%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-26 05:46
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.360%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.360%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:46
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.360%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.32%E -5.40%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.360%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.92%E -6.88%K -52.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 06:06
DraftKings🎯4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -1.56%E -0.315%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:45
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.35%E -0.480%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:55
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.35%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.35%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 06:07
Fanatics🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.35%E -0.905%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -4.54%E -0.949%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -4.54%E -0.949%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:46
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.71%E -3.96%K -24.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:12
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.32%E -5.40%K -37.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.34%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.33%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.32%E -5.40%K -37.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:49
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:49
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.33%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.32%E -5.40%K -37.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:13
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:31
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 06:00
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.32%E -5.40%K -37.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:04
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.32%E -5.40%K -37.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.32%E -5.40%K -37.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 06:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.32%E -2.29%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.72%E -7.65%K -62.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -11.32%E -2.54%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -7.12%E -6.13%K -44.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 06:15
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:15
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.91%E -3.26%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:20
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.32%E -2.80%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.52%E -4.67%K -30.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 05:46
ReBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -14.31%E -3.33%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.92%E -6.88%K -52.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 05:25
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 21.70%EV -17.30%E -4.17%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.30%EV -7.92%E -6.88%K -52.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 06:06
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -18.30%E -4.46%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -8.72%E -7.65%K -62.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 06:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Novig◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-10-26 05:05
ProphetX◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-10-26 05:06
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%3.6%2026-10-26 05:45