StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stan Wawrinka v Jiri Lehecka

2026-10-27 11:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Stan Wawrinka (Heim)

Prognose 19.76%5.06faire Quote
EV +3.75%
Vorteil +0.714%
Kelly +0.882%
Wachstum +0.033%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.97%19.85%19.76%21.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.104.734.795.2524.39%21.16%20.88%19.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Auswärts)

Prognose 80.24%1.25faire Quote
EV -2.91%
Vorteil -2.41%
Kelly -13.86%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.24%80.15%80.24%82.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.131.181.181.2188.50%84.89%84.75%82.64%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Stan Wawrinka (Heim): 19.76%; Jiri Lehecka (Auswärts): 80.24%. Für Stan Wawrinka (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.06. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 5.25 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +3.75%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.75%E +0.714%K +0.882%G +0.033%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
Pinnacle🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -2.91%E -2.41%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-26 05:46
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:46
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 05:45
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 06:06
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.33%E -8.26%K -71.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 07:55
DraftKings🎯4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -2.38%E -0.481%K -0.604%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:45
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:55
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 07:45
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 06:07
Fanatics🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:46
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:12
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:49
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:55
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.11%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.10%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:49
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.10%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:49
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.10%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:13
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:31
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 06:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 06:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.53%E -7.48%K -60.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -12.06%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -6.92%E -5.97%K -43.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 06:15
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:15
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:20
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 05:46
ReBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -15.03%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 05:25
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 21.70%EV -17.99%E -4.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.30%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 06:06
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -18.98%E -4.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -8.53%E -7.48%K -60.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 06:10
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Novig◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-10-26 05:05
ProphetX◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-10-26 05:06
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%3.6%2026-10-26 05:45