Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stan Wawrinka v Jiri Lehecka

2026-10-27 11:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stan Wawrinka (Local)

Prévision 19.76%5.06cote équitable
EV +3.75%
Avantage +0.714%
Kelly +0.882%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.97%19.85%19.76%21.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.734.795.2524.39%21.16%20.88%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.24%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -13.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.24%80.15%80.24%82.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.131.181.181.2188.50%84.89%84.75%82.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Stan Wawrinka (Local) : 19.76% ; Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur) : 80.24%. Pour Stan Wawrinka (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.06. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.25, pour une espérance positive de +3.75%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.75%E +0.714%K +0.882%G +0.033%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
Pinnacle🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -2.91%E -2.41%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-26 05:46
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:46
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 05:45
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 06:06
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.33%E -8.26%K -71.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 07:55
DraftKings🎯4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -2.38%E -0.481%K -0.604%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:45
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:55
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 07:45
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 06:07
Fanatics🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:46
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:12
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:49
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:55
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.11%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.10%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:49
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.10%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:49
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.10%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:13
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:31
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 06:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 06:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.53%E -7.48%K -60.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -12.06%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -6.92%E -5.97%K -43.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 06:15
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:15
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:20
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 05:46
ReBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -15.03%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 05:25
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 21.70%EV -17.99%E -4.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.30%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 06:06
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -18.98%E -4.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -8.53%E -7.48%K -60.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 06:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Novig◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-10-26 05:05
ProphetX◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-10-26 05:06
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%3.6%2026-10-26 05:45