StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Stan Wawrinka v Jiri Lehecka

2026-10-27 11:00 UTC — ATP Swiss Indoors Basel

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Stan Wawrinka (Hemma)

Prognos 19.76%5.06rättvist odds
EV +3.75%
Fördel +0.714%
Kelly +0.882%
Tillväxt +0.033%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.97%19.85%19.76%21.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.734.795.2524.39%21.16%20.88%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Borta)

Prognos 80.24%1.25rättvist odds
EV -2.91%
Fördel -2.41%
Kelly -13.86%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.24%80.15%80.24%82.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.131.181.181.2188.50%84.89%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Stan Wawrinka (Hemma): 19.76%; Jiri Lehecka (Borta): 80.24%. För Stan Wawrinka (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.06. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.25, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.75%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BetUS🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +3.75%E +0.714%K +0.882%G +0.033%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
Pinnacle🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -2.91%E -2.41%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-26 05:46
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 05:46
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 05:45
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 06:06
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -1.19%E -0.238%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -9.33%E -8.26%K -71.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 07:55
DraftKings🎯4.94I 20.24%NM 19.28%EV -2.38%E -0.481%K -0.604%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.72%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-26 05:45
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Bally Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:06
BetRivers🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.17%E -0.647%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 05:55
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 07:45
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 06:07
Fanatics🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -5.34%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 05:46
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.52%E -3.80%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:12
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 05:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:49
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.12%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 07:55
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.11%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.10%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:49
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.10%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 05:49
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.10%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 05:05
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:13
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 05:31
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 06:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 05:05
picklebet_au🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.12%E -5.23%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 06:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.53%E -7.48%K -60.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 05:05
LeoVegas🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -12.06%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -6.92%E -5.97%K -43.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 06:15
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:15
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.71%E -3.09%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 05:20
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.05%E -2.97%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.32%E -4.51%K -29.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 05:46
ReBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -15.03%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 05:25
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 21.70%EV -17.99%E -4.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.30%EV -7.73%E -6.72%K -51.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 06:06
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -18.98%E -4.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.24%EV -8.53%E -7.48%K -60.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 06:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-10-26 06:20
Novig◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%2.3%2026-10-26 05:05
ProphetX◎5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-10-26 05:06
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%3.6%2026-10-26 05:45