The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Rafael Jodar v Daniil Medvedev

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 11:05 UTC

Final: Rafael Jodar 2–0 Daniil Medvedev

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Prediction 36.71%2.72fair odd
EV -0.145%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.084%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%36.84%36.59%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.602.7241.67%38.95%38.46%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daniil Medvedev (Visit)

Prediction 63.29%1.58fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.814%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%63.16%63.41%64.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5669.93%66.59%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rafael Jodar (Local): 36.71%; Daniil Medvedev (Visit): 63.29%. For Rafael Jodar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.724. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.720, with an expected value of -0.145%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -0.145%E -0.053%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 11:03
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.879%E -0.326%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 11:00
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 11:04
GTbets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.45%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-16 16:30
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.45%E -1.31%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 22:49
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -1.27%E -0.814%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 10:35
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.82%E -1.46%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.43%E -2.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 22:40
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 10:00
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 10:10
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:39
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:40
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 09:29
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 10:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.33%E -4.28%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.33%E -4.28%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 11:00
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:00
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:00
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -5.65%E -2.20%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 09:55
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.27%E -0.814%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 10:35
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 10:10
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 10:55
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.33%E -4.28%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 10:50
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 11:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.39%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.49%E -2.97%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.27%E -0.814%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -7.49%E -2.97%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.27%E -0.814%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 10:35
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:14
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 14:00
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 10:05
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 10:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.33%E -4.28%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:19
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.86%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 11:03
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -8.96%E -3.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -9.50%E -6.64%K -22.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.06%E -4.10%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -10.06%E -4.10%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 05:55
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.89%E -4.96%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.90%E -1.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.89%E -4.96%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.90%E -1.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 11:00
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.89%E -4.96%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 09:35
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.89%E -4.96%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 09:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%0.1%2026-10-17 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-10-17 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-10-17 10:55
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-10-17 11:00
ProphetX◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-10-17 11:00
Novig◎2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%1.6%2026-10-17 11:00
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-10-17 11:00