Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rafael Jodar v Daniil Medvedev

2026-10-17 11:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rafael Jodar (Local)

Prévision 36.54%2.74cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.499%
Kelly -0.792%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.15%36.67%36.59%39.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.86%38.46%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.46%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.000%
Avantage -0.641%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.76%63.33%63.41%65.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.501.501.5671.43%66.75%66.67%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 36.54% ; Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur) : 63.46%. Pour Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.58. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.56, pour une espérance de -1.000% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.15%E -7.97%K -27.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 20:38
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.15%E -7.97%K -27.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 20:41
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.08%E -0.775%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-16 21:45
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:39
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 22:00
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 21:59
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 21:59
GTbets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-16 16:30
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 22:30
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 22:49
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 22:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:39
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:30
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 21:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.73%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.10%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.000%E -0.641%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-16 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.10%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.000%E -0.641%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-16 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.000%E -0.641%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-16 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 21:09
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 22:00
ReBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.59%EV -7.56%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.35%E -5.03%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 22:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 14:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:19
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 13:20
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:15
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 21:30
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-16 21:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.48%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.48%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 22:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 21:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-10-16 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-10-16 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-10-16 21:00
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-10-16 20:55
ProphetX◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-10-16 22:30
Novig◎2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%1.6%2026-10-16 21:50
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.2%2026-10-16 22:50