Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Rafael Jodar v Daniil Medvedev

2026-10-17 11:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 36.54%2.74kurs godziwy
EV -1.35%
Przewaga -0.499%
Kelly -0.792%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.15%36.67%36.59%39.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.86%38.46%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Daniil Medvedev (Goście)

Prognoza 63.46%1.58kurs godziwy
EV -1.000%
Przewaga -0.641%
Kelly -1.79%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.56

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.76%63.33%63.41%65.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.501.501.5671.43%66.75%66.67%64.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze): 36.54%; Daniil Medvedev (Goście): 63.46%. Dla wyniku Daniil Medvedev (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.58. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 1.56, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.000%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.15%E -7.97%K -27.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 20:38
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -1.35%E -0.499%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -11.15%E -7.97%K -27.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-16 20:41
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.08%E -0.775%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-16 21:45
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 20:39
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 22:00
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 21:59
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 21:59
GTbets🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-16 16:30
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 22:30
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 22:49
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.27%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 22:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:25
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:39
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:00
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 22:40
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 21:30
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 13:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 22:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 21:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -5.37%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.73%E -2.22%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.17%E -2.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.10%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.000%E -0.641%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-16 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.10%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.000%E -0.641%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-16 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.000%E -0.641%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-16 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 22:10
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.81%E -3.20%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 21:09
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.83%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 22:00
ReBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.59%EV -7.56%E -2.99%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -7.35%E -5.03%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 22:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 14:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:19
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.90%E -1.90%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 13:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 13:20
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 13:15
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 21:30
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.48%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.71%E -4.57%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-16 21:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.48%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.48%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-16 22:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -12.31%E -5.13%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.63%E -1.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 21:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-10-16 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-10-16 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-10-16 21:00
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-10-16 20:55
ProphetX◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-10-16 22:30
Novig◎2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%1.6%2026-10-16 21:50
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.2%2026-10-16 22:50