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Jiri Lehecka v Rafael Jodar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jiri Lehecka (Local)
Prediction 58.59%1.71fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.45%58.68%58.67%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.6764.52%61.63%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visit)
Prediction 41.41%2.41fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.596%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.32%41.33%43.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.282.4547.62%43.90%43.86%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 58.59%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 41.41%. For Rafael Jodar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +1.46%E +0.596%K +1.01%G +0.015% | 2.5% | 2026-10-12 05:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.611%E -0.255%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-12 05:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.611%E -0.255%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-12 05:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 04:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.27%E -0.961%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-12 04:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.27%E -0.961%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-12 04:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-12 03:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 04:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 04:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.92%E -1.69%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 05:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.34%E -1.88%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 05:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 01:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 03:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 03:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 03:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 03:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 04:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 05:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 05:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 04:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 04:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 04:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 03:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 03:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-12 04:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 05:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.92%E -2.39%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.58%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.58%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 05:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 05:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 03:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 03:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 04:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 04:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 04:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-12 04:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 02:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 04:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 04:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 02:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -7.65%E -3.43%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -8.07%E -3.63%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 01:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -12.21%E -5.76%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-12 03:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -13.03%E -6.21%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 05:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-10-12 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-10-12 05:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-10-12 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-10-12 05:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-10-12 05:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-10-12 05:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-10-12 05:55 |