Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jiri Lehecka v Rafael Jodar

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prediction 54.43%1.84fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -4.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.58%54.49%54.42%55.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7760.61%57.97%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Visit)

Prediction 45.57%2.19fair odd
EV -0.663%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.562%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.53%45.51%45.58%46.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.1851.28%48.13%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 54.43%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 45.57%. For Rafael Jodar (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.18, with an expected value of -0.663%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.68%E -2.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.663%E -0.304%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-10 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.49%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.49%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:25
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:10
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.95%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 15:35
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.95%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 18:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 15:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:31
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.68%E -2.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:55
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:22
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.95%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 15:55
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%EV -9.32%E -4.68%K -9.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.69%E -5.45%K -11.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -7.04%E -3.45%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.14%E -5.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-10-10 20:05
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-10-10 19:25
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-10-10 19:25