Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka v Rafael Jodar

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Previsão 54.43%1.84odd justa
EV -3.65%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -4.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.58%54.49%54.42%55.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.721.7760.61%57.97%58.14%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rafael Jodar (Visitante)

Previsão 45.57%2.19odd justa
EV -0.663%
Vantagem -0.304%
Kelly -0.562%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.53%45.51%45.58%46.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.082.102.1851.28%48.13%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 54.43%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 45.57%. Para Rafael Jodar (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.19. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.18, com valor esperado de -0.663%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.68%E -2.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.663%E -0.304%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-10 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.49%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.49%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:25
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:10
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.95%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 15:35
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.95%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 18:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 15:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:31
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.68%E -2.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:55
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:22
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.95%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 15:55
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%EV -9.32%E -4.68%K -9.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.69%E -5.45%K -11.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -7.04%E -3.45%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.14%E -5.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-10-10 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-10 20:10
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-10-10 20:50
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-10-10 19:25