StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka v Rafael Jodar

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jiri Lehecka (Hemma)

Prognos 54.43%1.84rättvist odds
EV -3.65%
Fördel -2.06%
Kelly -4.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.58%54.49%54.42%55.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.651.721.721.7760.61%57.97%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Borta)

Prognos 45.57%2.19rättvist odds
EV -0.663%
Fördel -0.304%
Kelly -0.562%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.53%45.51%45.58%46.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.082.102.1851.28%48.13%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Jiri Lehecka (Hemma): 54.43%; Rafael Jodar (Borta): 45.57%. För Rafael Jodar (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.19. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.18, med väntevärdet -0.663%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 15:54
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.65%E -2.06%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.68%E -2.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.20%E -2.39%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -0.663%E -0.304%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-10 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.49%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.49%E -1.16%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 16:25
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:10
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.76%E -2.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 15:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.95%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 15:35
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.74%E -2.71%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.95%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 15:35
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.29%E -3.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 18:24
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 15:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 15:40
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:31
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:40
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.40%E -1.60%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.38%E -3.71%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.86%E -4.43%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.31%E -2.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -5.68%E -2.74%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 15:55
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:22
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.59%E -3.21%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.95%E -3.94%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 15:55
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.58%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%EV -9.32%E -4.68%K -9.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.69%E -5.45%K -11.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -7.04%E -3.45%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -10.19%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -11.14%E -5.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 15:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-10-10 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-10 20:10
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-10-10 20:50
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-10-10 19:25