StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daniil Medvedev v Dalibor Svrcina

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daniil Medvedev (Hemma)

Prognos 82.69%1.21rättvist odds
EV -2.43%
Fördel -2.06%
Kelly -13.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
80.21%82.69%82.76%84.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.101.141.151.1890.91%87.38%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Dalibor Svrcina (Borta)

Prognos 17.31%5.78rättvist odds
EV +7.33%
Fördel +1.18%
Kelly +1.41%
Tillväxt +0.103%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.42%17.31%17.24%19.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.355.256.2022.22%18.70%19.05%16.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Daniil Medvedev (Hemma): 82.69%; Dalibor Svrcina (Borta): 17.31%. För Dalibor Svrcina (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.78. 7 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 6.20, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +7.33%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +7.33%E +1.18%K +1.41%G +0.103%4.6%2026-10-10 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%5.2%2026-10-10 16:15
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%6.0%2026-10-10 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%6.0%2026-10-10 16:11
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%6.8%2026-10-10 16:11
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +3.17%E +0.533%K +0.640%G +0.020%4.5%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +3.17%E +0.533%K +0.640%G +0.020%4.5%2026-10-10 20:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -9.04%E -8.22%K -90.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -1.33%E -0.233%K -0.282%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 16:05
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.68%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.32%EV -1.50%E -0.264%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 18:50
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.54%EV -2.43%E -2.06%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.46%EV -3.40%E -0.610%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-10 20:15
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.92%E -0.707%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:29
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -3.92%E -0.707%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 18:35
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:10
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 18:54
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -5.14%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.52%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.71%E -2.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 18:50
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:01
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:01
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:26
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:31
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.91%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.92%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -17.77%E -3.74%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -20.37%E -4.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -22.10%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-10 18:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 82.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.51%2.7%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-10-10 20:15
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%4.1%2026-10-10 20:00
Smarkets◎1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%9.9%2026-10-10 18:50