Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Daniil Medvedev v Dalibor Svrcina

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 82.69%1.21kurs godziwy
EV -2.43%
Przewaga -2.06%
Kelly -13.48%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.18

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
80.21%82.69%82.76%84.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.101.141.151.1890.91%87.38%86.96%84.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dalibor Svrcina (Goście)

Prognoza 17.31%5.78kurs godziwy
EV +7.33%
Przewaga +1.18%
Kelly +1.41%
Wzrost +0.103%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.42%17.31%17.24%19.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.355.256.2022.22%18.70%19.05%16.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze): 82.69%; Dalibor Svrcina (Goście): 17.31%. Dla wyniku Dalibor Svrcina (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.78. 7 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 6.20, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +7.33%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +7.33%E +1.18%K +1.41%G +0.103%4.6%2026-10-10 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%5.2%2026-10-10 16:15
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%6.0%2026-10-10 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%6.0%2026-10-10 16:11
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%6.8%2026-10-10 16:11
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +3.17%E +0.533%K +0.640%G +0.020%4.5%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +3.17%E +0.533%K +0.640%G +0.020%4.5%2026-10-10 20:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -9.04%E -8.22%K -90.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -1.33%E -0.233%K -0.282%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 16:05
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.68%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.32%EV -1.50%E -0.264%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 18:50
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.54%EV -2.43%E -2.06%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.46%EV -3.40%E -0.610%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-10 20:15
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.92%E -0.707%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:29
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -3.92%E -0.707%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 18:35
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:10
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 18:54
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -5.14%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.52%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.71%E -2.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 18:50
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:01
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:01
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:26
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:31
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.91%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.92%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -17.77%E -3.74%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -20.37%E -4.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -22.10%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-10 18:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 82.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.51%2.7%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-10-10 20:15
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%4.1%2026-10-10 20:00
Smarkets◎1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%9.9%2026-10-10 18:50