Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev v Dalibor Svrcina

2026-10-12 04:00 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Prévision 82.69%1.21cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -13.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.21%82.69%82.76%84.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.101.141.151.1890.91%87.38%86.96%84.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dalibor Svrcina (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.31%5.78cote équitable
EV +7.33%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.103%

avec la cote maximale 6.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.42%17.31%17.24%19.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.355.256.2022.22%18.70%19.05%16.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Daniil Medvedev (Local) : 82.69% ; Dalibor Svrcina (Visiteur) : 17.31%. Pour Dalibor Svrcina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.78. 7 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.20, pour une espérance positive de +7.33%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +7.33%E +1.18%K +1.41%G +0.103%4.6%2026-10-10 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%5.2%2026-10-10 16:15
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%6.0%2026-10-10 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%6.0%2026-10-10 16:11
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +3.87%E +0.644%K +0.773%G +0.030%6.8%2026-10-10 16:11
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +3.17%E +0.533%K +0.640%G +0.020%4.5%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +3.17%E +0.533%K +0.640%G +0.020%4.5%2026-10-10 20:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -9.04%E -8.22%K -90.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -1.33%E -0.233%K -0.282%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 16:05
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.68%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.32%EV -1.50%E -0.264%K -0.320%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 18:50
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.06%E -0.546%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.54%EV -2.43%E -2.06%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.46%EV -3.40%E -0.610%K -0.743%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-10 20:15
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -3.92%E -0.707%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:29
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.08%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%EV -3.92%E -0.707%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 18:35
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 16:10
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 18:54
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.53%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV -5.14%E -0.937%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -6.52%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.91%E -4.27%K -32.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-10 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.71%E -2.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 18:50
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.25%E -2.78%K -19.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:01
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.08%E -3.52%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:01
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:26
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.56%E -5.81%K -50.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 19:31
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.91%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.92%EV -7.39%E -6.60%K -61.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -17.77%E -3.74%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -20.37%E -4.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%EV -8.22%E -7.40%K -74.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -22.10%E -4.91%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-10 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-10-10 20:05
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 82.49%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.51%2.7%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-10-10 20:15
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%4.1%2026-10-10 20:00
Smarkets◎1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%9.9%2026-10-10 18:50