StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex de Minaur v Rei Sakamoto

2026-10-11 05:10 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Alex de Minaur (Hemma)

Prognos 68.52%1.46rättvist odds
EV -2.71%
Fördel -1.91%
Kelly -6.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.95%68.61%68.49%71.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.281.371.371.4278.13%73.21%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rei Sakamoto (Borta)

Prognos 31.48%3.18rättvist odds
EV +3.90%
Fördel +1.18%
Kelly +1.70%
Tillväxt +0.066%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.67%31.39%31.51%34.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.083.033.3036.36%32.49%33.00%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Alex de Minaur (Hemma): 68.52%; Rei Sakamoto (Borta): 31.48%. För Rei Sakamoto (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.18. 19 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.30, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +3.90%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -10.24%E -7.82%K -33.05%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV +2.64%E +0.810%K +1.17%G +0.031%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.32%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%4.3%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.50%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +1.07%E +0.332%K +0.482%G +0.005%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.751%E +0.235%K +0.341%G +0.003%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -12.30%E -9.61%K -43.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -0.824%E -0.261%K -0.383%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 19:00
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:59
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:00
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 19:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.50%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 13:53
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -7.75%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 17:35
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.32%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.64%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.64%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:55
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%0.9%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:40
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-10-10 20:30
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-10-10 20:30