Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alex de Minaur v Rei Sakamoto

2026-10-11 05:10 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Alex de Minaur (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.52%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -2.71%
Przewaga -1.91%
Kelly -6.45%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.95%68.61%68.49%71.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.281.371.371.4278.13%73.21%72.99%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Rei Sakamoto (Goście)

Prognoza 31.48%3.18kurs godziwy
EV +3.90%
Przewaga +1.18%
Kelly +1.70%
Wzrost +0.066%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.67%31.39%31.51%34.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.083.033.3036.36%32.49%33.00%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Alex de Minaur (Gospodarze): 68.52%; Rei Sakamoto (Goście): 31.48%. Dla wyniku Rei Sakamoto (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.18. 19 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 3.30, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +3.90%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -10.24%E -7.82%K -33.05%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV +2.64%E +0.810%K +1.17%G +0.031%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.32%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%4.3%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.50%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +1.07%E +0.332%K +0.482%G +0.005%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.751%E +0.235%K +0.341%G +0.003%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -12.30%E -9.61%K -43.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -0.824%E -0.261%K -0.383%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 19:00
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:59
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:00
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 19:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.50%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 13:53
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -7.75%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 17:35
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.32%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.64%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.64%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:55
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%0.9%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:40
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-10-10 20:30
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-10-10 20:30