Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur v Rei Sakamoto

2026-10-11 05:10 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Previsão 68.52%1.46odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -6.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.95%68.61%68.49%71.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.281.371.371.4278.13%73.21%72.99%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rei Sakamoto (Visitante)

Previsão 31.48%3.18odd justa
EV +3.90%
Vantagem +1.18%
Kelly +1.70%
Crescimento +0.066%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.67%31.39%31.51%34.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.083.033.3036.36%32.49%33.00%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alex de Minaur (Local): 68.52%; Rei Sakamoto (Visitante): 31.48%. Para Rei Sakamoto (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.18. 19 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.30, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +3.90%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -10.24%E -7.82%K -33.05%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV +2.64%E +0.810%K +1.17%G +0.031%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.32%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%4.3%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.50%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +1.07%E +0.332%K +0.482%G +0.005%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.751%E +0.235%K +0.341%G +0.003%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -12.30%E -9.61%K -43.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -0.824%E -0.261%K -0.383%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 19:00
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:59
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:00
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 19:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.50%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 13:53
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -7.75%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 17:35
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.32%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.64%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.64%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:55
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%0.9%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:40
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-10-10 20:30
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-10-10 20:30