StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex de Minaur v Rei Sakamoto

2026-10-11 05:10 UTC — ATP Shanghai Masters

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alex de Minaur (Heim)

Prognose 68.52%1.46faire Quote
EV -2.71%
Vorteil -1.91%
Kelly -6.45%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
65.95%68.61%68.49%71.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.281.371.371.4278.13%73.21%72.99%70.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Rei Sakamoto (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.48%3.18faire Quote
EV +3.90%
Vorteil +1.18%
Kelly +1.70%
Wachstum +0.066%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.67%31.39%31.51%34.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.753.083.033.3036.36%32.49%33.00%30.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Alex de Minaur (Heim): 68.52%; Rei Sakamoto (Auswärts): 31.48%. Für Rei Sakamoto (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.18. 19 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.30 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +3.90%.

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.90%E +1.18%K +1.70%G +0.066%5.5%2026-10-10 14:00
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -10.24%E -7.82%K -33.05%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV +2.64%E +0.810%K +1.17%G +0.031%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.32%E +0.715%K +1.03%G +0.024%4.3%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -7.50%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV +1.07%E +0.332%K +0.482%G +0.005%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.751%E +0.235%K +0.341%G +0.003%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -12.30%E -9.61%K -43.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -0.824%E -0.261%K -0.383%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.65%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.35%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.987%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -2.08%E -0.670%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 19:00
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 13:59
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.40%E -0.773%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -4.60%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 20:45
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.39%E -2.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:00
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 18:59
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.76%E -3.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 19:00
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.87%E -6.67%K -26.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.55%E -1.85%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 19:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.82%E -5.01%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.50%E -5.56%K -21.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.12%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 13:53
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -6.13%E -4.48%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -7.75%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 18:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 17:35
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 15:35
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.45%E -3.95%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.69%E -3.00%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.32%E -3.24%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.64%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.08%E -2.91%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.64%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.71%E -1.91%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.42%E -4.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-10 20:55
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%0.9%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-10 20:40
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-10-10 20:30
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-10-10 20:30