The School of Odds

Ugo Humbert v Marin Cilic

Matchstart: 2026-06-16 16:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Hemma)

Prognos 52.44%1.91rättvist odds
EV +4.87%
Fördel +2.44%
Kelly +4.87%
Tillväxt +0.237%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.38%52.12%52.35%55.12%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.661.801.782.0060.24%55.56%56.18%50.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Marin Cilic (Borta)

Prognos 47.56%2.10rättvist odds
EV -0.114%
Fördel -0.054%
Kelly -0.104%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.88%47.88%47.65%53.62%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.731.951.952.1057.80%51.23%51.28%47.62%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +4.87%E +2.44%K +4.87%G +0.237%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -17.71%E -10.24%K -24.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 16:19
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +2.25%E +1.15%K +2.37%G +0.053%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 16:20
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 16:20
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 16:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 16:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 16:20
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.05%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-16 16:20
DraftKings1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -3.52%E -1.91%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -8.20%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 16:20
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 16:10
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 16:20
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 16:20
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 16:20
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 16:20
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 16:20
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 16:19
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.20%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 16:20
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 16:10
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.14%E -3.43%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 16:21
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 16:20
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 16:20
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 16:20
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -1.07%E -0.512%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 16:20
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 16:21
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -9.63%E -5.07%K -10.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-16 16:20
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 16:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 16:20
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 16:21
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 16:20
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 16:20
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.76%E -5.04%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:20
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.29%E -5.37%K -12.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.77%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.81%E -5.70%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.81%E -5.70%K -13.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-16 16:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.34%E -6.04%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 16:20
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.65%EV -10.86%E -6.39%K -15.51%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.10%E -5.35%K -11.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-16 16:21
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -12.96%E -7.81%K -19.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-16 16:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-06-16 16:21
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-16 16:20
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-06-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%2.9%2026-06-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%2.9%2026-06-16 16:20
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%8.1%2026-06-16 16:19