Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Ugo Humbert v Marin Cilic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Ugo Humbert (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 52.44%1.91kurs godziwy
EV +4.87%
Przewaga +2.44%
Kelly +4.87%
Wzrost +0.237%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.38%52.12%52.35%55.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.661.801.782.0060.24%55.56%56.18%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Marin Cilic (Goście)
Prognoza 47.56%2.10kurs godziwy
EV -0.114%
Przewaga -0.054%
Kelly -0.104%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.88%47.88%47.65%53.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.731.951.952.1057.80%51.23%51.28%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (43 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +4.87%E +2.44%K +4.87%G +0.237% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -17.71%E -10.24%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 16:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +2.25%E +1.15%K +2.37%G +0.053% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.05%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -3.52%E -1.91%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -8.20%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 16:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.20%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.14%E -3.43%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -1.07%E -0.512%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -9.63%E -5.07%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.76%E -5.04%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.29%E -5.37%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.77%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.81%E -5.70%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.81%E -5.70%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.34%E -6.04%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.65%EV -10.86%E -6.39%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.10%E -5.35%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -12.96%E -7.81%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Matchbook | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 16:19 |