Lingua:Italiano
Ugo Humbert v Marin Cilic
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ugo Humbert (Casa)
Previsione 52.44%1.91quota equa
EV +4.87%
Vantaggio +2.44%
Kelly +4.87%
Crescita +0.237%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.38%52.12%52.35%55.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.801.782.0060.24%55.56%56.18%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Marin Cilic (Trasferta)
Previsione 47.56%2.10quota equa
EV -0.114%
Vantaggio -0.054%
Kelly -0.104%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.88%47.88%47.65%53.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.951.952.1057.80%51.23%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ugo Humbert (Casa): 52.44%; Marin Cilic (Trasferta): 47.56%. Per Ugo Humbert (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.91. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.87%.
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +4.87%E +2.44%K +4.87%G +0.237% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -17.71%E -10.24%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 16:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +2.25%E +1.15%K +2.37%G +0.053% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.05%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -3.52%E -1.91%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -8.20%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.20%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.14%E -3.43%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -1.07%E -0.512%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -9.63%E -5.07%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.76%E -5.04%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.29%E -5.37%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.77%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.81%E -5.70%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.81%E -5.70%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.34%E -6.04%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.65%EV -10.86%E -6.39%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.10%E -5.35%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -12.96%E -7.81%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 16:19 |