مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Ugo Humbert v Marin Cilic
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Ugo Humbert (المضيف)
التنبؤ 52.44%1.91السعر العادل
EV +4.87%
الأفضلية +2.44%
Kelly +4.87%
النمو +0.237%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.38%52.12%52.35%55.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.801.782.0060.24%55.56%56.18%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Marin Cilic (الضيف)
التنبؤ 47.56%2.10السعر العادل
EV -0.114%
الأفضلية -0.054%
Kelly -0.104%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.88%47.88%47.65%53.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.951.952.1057.80%51.23%51.28%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +4.87%E +2.44%K +4.87%G +0.237% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -17.71%E -10.24%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 16:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +2.25%E +1.15%K +2.37%G +0.053% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.151%E +0.079%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.38%E -7.99%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.95%E -1.04%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.05%E -5.91%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -2.99%E -1.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -3.52%E -1.91%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -8.20%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.15%E -4.79%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.04%E -2.21%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.96%E -7.08%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 16:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.09%E -2.81%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.20%E -4.25%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.62%E -3.12%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 16:10 |
| Casumo | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.14%E -3.43%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.67%E -3.74%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.92%E -1.94%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -1.07%E -0.512%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.30%E -3.20%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -7.71%E -4.38%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -9.63%E -5.07%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.24%E -4.71%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.76%E -5.04%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.29%E -5.37%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.77%E -3.46%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.81%E -5.70%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -4.87%E -2.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.81%E -5.70%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -7.25%E -3.72%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.34%E -6.04%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.114%E -0.054%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.65%EV -10.86%E -6.39%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -10.10%E -5.35%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.89%EV -12.96%E -7.81%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -7.72%E -3.98%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 16:21 |
| Matchbook | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 16:19 |