Language:English
Kamil Majchrzak v Jiri Lehecka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Prediction 32.89%3.04fair odd
EV +11.83%
Edge +3.48%
Kelly +4.93%
Growth +0.583%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%33.09%32.94%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.822.803.4041.67%35.40%35.71%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visit)
Prediction 67.11%1.49fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +5.05%
Growth +0.135%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%66.91%67.06%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.401.401.5376.92%71.20%71.17%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 32.89%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 67.11%. For Kamil Majchrzak (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +11.83%E +3.48%K +4.93%G +0.583% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV +2.29%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.96%E +0.633%K +0.935%G +0.018% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.40%E -6.97%K -26.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.40%E -6.97%K -26.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 17:31 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.76%E -9.81%K -42.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.06%E -5.88%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.06%E -5.88%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -10.07%E -7.52%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -9.22%E -3.34%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 07:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 17:21 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 17:31 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.42%E -8.65%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.35%E -0.919%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.35%E -0.919%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.02%E -1.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 17:31 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.72%E -4.83%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -13.82%E -5.28%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +0.663%E +0.442%K +1.33%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.59%EV -15.47%E -6.02%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 17:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -21.06%E -8.78%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +2.68%E +1.75%K +5.05%G +0.135% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 17:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 1.6% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.56% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |