مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kamil Majchrzak v Jiri Lehecka

البداية: 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.89%3.04السعر العادل
EV +11.83%
الأفضلية +3.48%
Kelly +4.93%
النمو +0.583%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.12%33.09%32.94%38.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.822.803.4041.67%35.40%35.71%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jiri Lehecka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 67.11%1.49السعر العادل
EV +2.68%
الأفضلية +1.75%
Kelly +5.05%
النمو +0.135%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.07%66.91%67.06%71.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.401.401.5376.92%71.20%71.17%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +11.83%E +3.48%K +4.93%G +0.583%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 17:40
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV +2.29%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 17:30
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.96%E +0.633%K +0.935%G +0.018%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 17:40
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 17:40
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.40%E -6.97%K -26.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:40
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.40%E -6.97%K -26.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 17:31
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:40
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.76%E -9.81%K -42.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-16 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 17:40
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 17:30
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.06%E -5.88%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:30
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.06%E -5.88%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:30
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -10.07%E -7.52%K -29.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 17:40
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:40
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 17:20
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 17:20
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 17:40
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 17:40
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 17:30
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 17:10
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 17:40
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 17:10
GTbets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -9.22%E -3.34%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 07:00
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 17:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 20:00
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 17:21
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 17:31
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 17:39
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 17:20
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 17:40
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 17:20
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.42%E -8.65%K -35.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.35%E -0.919%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 16:20
ReBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.35%E -0.919%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 17:10
Dabble (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.02%E -1.38%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 16:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 14:50
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 14:40
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 14:40
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 17:31
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.72%E -4.83%K -17.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 17:40
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-16 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-16 17:40
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-16 17:40
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -13.82%E -5.28%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +0.663%E +0.442%K +1.33%G +0.009%4.8%2026-06-16 17:10
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.59%EV -15.47%E -6.02%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 17:39
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -21.06%E -8.78%K -15.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +2.68%E +1.75%K +5.05%G +0.135%7.0%2026-06-16 17:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-06-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-06-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-16 17:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-06-16 17:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-06-16 17:40
Novig3.17I 31.55%NM 29.56%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%6.7%2026-06-16 17:40