La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Kamil Majchrzak v Jiri Lehecka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Predicción 32.89%3.04momio equitativo
EV +11.83%
Ventaja +3.48%
Kelly +4.93%
Crecimiento +0.583%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%33.09%32.94%38.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.822.803.4041.67%35.40%35.71%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)
Predicción 67.11%1.49momio equitativo
EV +2.68%
Ventaja +1.75%
Kelly +5.05%
Crecimiento +0.135%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%66.91%67.06%71.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.401.5376.92%71.20%71.17%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +11.83%E +3.48%K +4.93%G +0.583% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV +2.29%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.96%E +0.633%K +0.935%G +0.018% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.40%E -6.97%K -26.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.40%E -6.97%K -26.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 17:31 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.76%E -9.81%K -42.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.06%E -5.88%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.06%E -5.88%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -10.07%E -7.52%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 17:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| GTbets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -9.22%E -3.34%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 07:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 17:21 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 17:31 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.42%E -8.65%K -35.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.35%E -0.919%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 16:20 |
| ReBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.35%E -0.919%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.02%E -1.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 14:50 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 14:40 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 14:40 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 17:31 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.72%E -4.83%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -13.82%E -5.28%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +0.663%E +0.442%K +1.33%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.59%EV -15.47%E -6.02%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 17:39 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -21.06%E -8.78%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +2.68%E +1.75%K +5.05%G +0.135% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 17:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 1.6% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |
| Novig | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.56% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 17:40 |