L’École des cotes

Kamil Majchrzak v Jiri Lehecka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Prévision 32.89%3.04cote équitable
EV +11.83%
Avantage +3.48%
Kelly +4.93%
Croissance +0.583%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%33.09%32.94%38.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.822.803.4041.67%35.40%35.71%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.11%1.49cote équitable
EV +2.68%
Avantage +1.75%
Kelly +5.05%
Croissance +0.135%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.07%66.91%67.06%71.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.401.401.5376.92%71.20%71.17%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +11.83%E +3.48%K +4.93%G +0.583%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 17:40
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV +2.29%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-16 17:30
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +1.96%E +0.633%K +0.935%G +0.018%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 17:40
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 17:40
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.40%E -6.97%K -26.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:40
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV +0.319%E +0.104%K +0.155%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -9.40%E -6.97%K -26.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 17:31
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:40
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 17:40
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -1.33%E -0.442%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.76%E -9.81%K -42.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-16 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 17:40
Fanatics2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 17:30
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.06%E -5.88%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:30
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.06%E -5.88%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 17:30
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -2.97%E -1.01%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -10.07%E -7.52%K -29.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 17:40
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:40
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 17:20
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 17:20
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.38%E -3.81%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 17:40
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 17:40
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 17:30
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 17:10
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 17:40
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 17:10
GTbets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -9.22%E -3.34%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 07:00
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 17:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 20:00
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 17:21
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.36%E -2.34%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 17:31
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 17:39
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 17:20
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 17:40
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 17:20
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.42%E -8.65%K -35.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-16 17:40
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.35%E -0.919%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 16:20
ReBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -1.35%E -0.919%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 17:10
Dabble (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.02%E -1.38%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 16:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.69%E -1.86%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 14:50
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 14:40
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 14:40
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 17:31
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -6.72%E -4.83%K -17.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 17:40
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-16 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.73%E -6.42%K -24.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-16 17:40
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-16 17:40
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -13.82%E -5.28%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV +0.663%E +0.442%K +1.33%G +0.009%4.8%2026-06-16 17:10
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.59%EV -15.47%E -6.02%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -4.71%E -3.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 17:39
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -21.06%E -8.78%K -15.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV +2.68%E +1.75%K +5.05%G +0.135%7.0%2026-06-16 17:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-06-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-06-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-16 17:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%1.6%2026-06-16 17:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-06-16 17:40
Novig3.17I 31.55%NM 29.56%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%6.7%2026-06-16 17:40