Language:English
Jack Pinnington Jones v Denis Shapovalov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jack Pinnington Jones (Local)
Prediction 40.84%2.45fair odd
EV +4.13%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +2.66%
Growth +0.110%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.75%40.79%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.252.5546.51%44.10%44.44%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denis Shapovalov (Visit)
Prediction 59.16%1.69fair odd
EV -0.012%
Edge -0.007%
Kelly -0.017%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%59.25%59.21%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.601.621.6967.57%62.45%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jack Pinnington Jones (Local): 40.84%; Denis Shapovalov (Visit): 59.16%. For Jack Pinnington Jones (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +4.13%E +1.62%K +2.66%G +0.110% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +2.09%E +0.835%K +1.39%G +0.029% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.09%E +0.835%K +1.39%G +0.029% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.07%E -6.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.07%E -6.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.52%E -4.13%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.04%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.04%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.67%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.66%E -7.06%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.49%E -2.83%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.603%E -0.359%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.70%E -4.94%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -12.44%E -8.40%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -8.53%E -3.81%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.74%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 15:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.74%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.70%E -4.94%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.98%E -5.04%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.98%E -5.04%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -11.39%E -5.25%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 0.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |