La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jack Pinnington Jones v Denis Shapovalov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jack Pinnington Jones (Local)
Predicción 40.84%2.45momio equitativo
EV +4.13%
Ventaja +1.62%
Kelly +2.66%
Crecimiento +0.110%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%40.75%40.79%44.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.252.5546.51%44.10%44.44%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)
Predicción 59.16%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.012%
Ventaja -0.007%
Kelly -0.017%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%59.25%59.21%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.601.621.6967.57%62.45%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +4.13%E +1.62%K +2.66%G +0.110% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +2.09%E +0.835%K +1.39%G +0.029% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.09%E +0.835%K +1.39%G +0.029% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.07%E -6.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.07%E -6.62%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.52%E -4.13%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.04%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.04%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.67%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.66%E -7.06%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.49%E -2.83%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.603%E -0.359%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-15 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.70%E -4.94%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -12.44%E -8.40%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| GTbets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -8.53%E -3.81%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.74%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 14:41 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.74%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 15:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.70%E -4.94%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.98%E -5.04%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.98%E -5.04%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -11.39%E -5.25%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-15 15:00 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 14:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 0.2% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 1.3% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-06-15 15:10 |
| Novig | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 15:11 |