La scuola delle quote

Jack Pinnington Jones v Denis Shapovalov

Inizio: 2026-06-15 15:14 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jack Pinnington Jones (Casa)

Previsione 40.84%2.45quota equa
EV +4.13%
Vantaggio +1.62%
Kelly +2.66%
Crescita +0.110%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.04%40.75%40.79%44.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.272.252.5546.51%44.10%44.44%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Denis Shapovalov (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.16%1.69quota equa
EV -0.012%
Vantaggio -0.007%
Kelly -0.017%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.99%59.25%59.21%62.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.601.621.6967.57%62.45%61.73%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +4.13%E +1.62%K +2.66%G +0.110%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 15:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +2.09%E +0.835%K +1.39%G +0.029%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 15:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.09%E +0.835%K +1.39%G +0.029%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 15:10
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 14:50
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 15:10
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.07%E -6.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 15:10
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.07%E -6.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 15:11
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 15:10
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.52%E -4.13%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 15:10
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 15:10
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 15:11
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.04%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 15:09
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.04%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 15:10
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.67%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 14:59
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 15:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 15:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 15:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 15:10
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 15:10
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 15:10
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.66%E -7.06%K -20.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-15 15:10
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.49%E -2.83%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.603%E -0.359%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 15:10
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 15:10
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 15:10
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-15 14:50
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 14:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 15:10
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.70%E -4.94%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 15:10
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 15:09
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -12.44%E -8.40%K -25.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-15 15:11
GTbets2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -8.53%E -3.81%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.74%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 14:40
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:59
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:10
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:10
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:10
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:40
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 15:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 15:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:40
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 15:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:41
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 15:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 15:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 15:09
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.74%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 15:09
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.70%E -4.94%K -13.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-15 15:10
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.98%E -5.04%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.98%E -5.04%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 15:10
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -11.39%E -5.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 15:00
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 14:40
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-15 15:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-06-15 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-06-15 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-06-15 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-06-15 15:10
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-06-15 15:10
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%3.7%2026-06-15 15:11