L’École des cotes

Jack Pinnington Jones v Denis Shapovalov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-15 15:14 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jack Pinnington Jones (Local)

Prévision 40.84%2.45cote équitable
EV +4.13%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +2.66%
Croissance +0.110%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%40.75%40.79%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.272.252.5546.51%44.10%44.44%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.16%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.012%
Avantage -0.007%
Kelly -0.017%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.99%59.25%59.21%62.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.601.621.6967.57%62.45%61.73%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +4.13%E +1.62%K +2.66%G +0.110%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 15:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +2.09%E +0.835%K +1.39%G +0.029%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 15:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +2.09%E +0.835%K +1.39%G +0.029%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 15:10
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-15 14:50
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 15:10
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.07%E -6.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 15:10
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.07%E -6.62%K -19.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 15:11
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -2.00%E -0.831%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.25%E -7.50%K -22.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 15:10
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.52%E -4.13%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 15:10
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 15:10
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 15:11
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.04%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 15:09
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.04%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 15:10
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.67%E -2.45%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 14:59
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 15:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 15:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 15:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 15:10
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 15:10
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.48%E -6.19%K -17.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 15:10
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.08%E -2.64%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.66%E -7.06%K -20.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-15 15:10
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.49%E -2.83%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -0.603%E -0.359%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 15:10
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 15:10
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 15:10
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.90%E -3.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-15 14:50
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-15 14:50
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.79%E -1.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 14:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 15:10
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.70%E -4.94%K -13.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 15:10
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.29%E -5.35%K -15.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 15:09
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 15:10
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -12.44%E -8.40%K -25.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-15 15:11
GTbets2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -8.53%E -3.81%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.74%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 14:40
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:59
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:10
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:10
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.94%E -4.01%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:10
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:40
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 15:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 15:00
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 14:40
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.19%E -0.715%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 15:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 14:41
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 14:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 15:10
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 15:10
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 15:09
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.74%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 15:09
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.70%E -4.94%K -13.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-15 15:10
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.98%E -5.04%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 15:10
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -10.98%E -5.04%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 15:10
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -11.39%E -5.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -3.56%E -2.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 15:00
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.012%E -0.007%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 14:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -2.97%E -1.81%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.15%E -2.56%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 14:40
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.20%E -5.68%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-15 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-06-15 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-06-15 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-06-15 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%1.3%2026-06-15 15:10
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-06-15 15:10
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%3.7%2026-06-15 15:11