Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Rinderknech v Hamad Medjedovic

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 15:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Prediction 54.15%1.85fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%54.11%54.09%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.741.8059.52%57.34%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visit)

Prediction 45.85%2.18fair odd
EV -0.507%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.434%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.89%45.91%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.062.072.1752.36%48.46%48.31%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 54.15%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visit): 45.85%. For Hamad Medjedovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -0.507%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.05%E -5.70%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.43%E -6.51%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:20
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:45
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.507%E -0.234%K -0.434%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 14:50
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.63%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:49
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.55%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:18
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 14:50
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.55%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:10
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.42%E -0.662%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 14:48
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 14:49
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.03%E -5.37%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-16 15:20
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-06-16 15:20