La scuola delle quote

Arthur Rinderknech v Hamad Medjedovic

Inizio: 2026-06-16 15:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Casa)

Previsione 54.15%1.85quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -1.40%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.48%54.11%54.09%55.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.681.741.741.8059.52%57.34%57.47%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hamad Medjedovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.85%2.18quota equa
EV -0.507%
Vantaggio -0.234%
Kelly -0.434%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.73%45.89%45.91%48.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.062.072.1752.36%48.46%48.31%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 14:50
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.05%E -5.70%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 14:50
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.43%E -6.51%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:10
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:10
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 14:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:20
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:45
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.507%E -0.234%K -0.434%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 14:50
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.63%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:49
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.55%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:18
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 14:50
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:00
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:00
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.55%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:10
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 15:20
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 15:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.42%E -0.662%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 14:48
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 14:49
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 14:50
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.03%E -5.37%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 15:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-16 15:20
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-06-16 15:20