Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Rinderknech v Hamad Medjedovic

Início: 2026-06-16 15:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Previsão 54.15%1.85odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.48%54.11%54.09%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.741.741.8059.52%57.34%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante)

Previsão 45.85%2.18odd justa
EV -0.507%
Vantagem -0.234%
Kelly -0.434%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%45.89%45.91%48.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.062.072.1752.36%48.46%48.31%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arthur Rinderknech (Local): 54.15%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante): 45.85%. Para Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.18. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.17, com valor esperado de -0.507%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 14:50
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.05%E -5.70%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.43%E -6.51%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:20
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:45
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.507%E -0.234%K -0.434%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 14:50
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.63%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:49
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.55%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:18
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 14:50
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.55%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:10
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.42%E -0.662%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 14:48
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 14:49
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.03%E -5.37%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 15:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-16 15:20
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-06-16 15:20