L’École des cotes

Arthur Rinderknech v Hamad Medjedovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 15:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arthur Rinderknech (Local)

Prévision 54.15%1.85cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -3.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.48%54.11%54.09%55.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.741.741.8059.52%57.34%57.47%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.85%2.18cote équitable
EV -0.507%
Avantage -0.234%
Kelly -0.434%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.73%45.89%45.91%48.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.062.072.1752.36%48.46%48.31%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 14:50
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -11.05%E -5.70%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 14:50
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.53%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.43%E -6.51%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 15:19
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:10
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 15:10
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 14:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:20
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:45
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.35%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 14:50
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -0.507%E -0.234%K -0.434%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 14:50
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.63%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:49
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.55%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 15:18
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 14:50
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:00
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 15:00
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.55%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:10
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 15:20
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 15:20
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.24%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.42%E -0.662%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 14:48
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 14:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.78%E -3.32%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 14:50
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 14:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 14:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 14:49
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.30%E -4.15%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 14:50
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.03%E -5.37%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.09%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-16 15:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-16 15:20
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%3.2%2026-06-16 15:20