Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.88
assuming max odds 2.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adrian Mannarino (Local): 53.58%; Arthur Fery (Visit): 46.42%. For Adrian Mannarino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.723%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV +0.723%E +0.384%K +0.821%G +0.006% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.885%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.885%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.79%E -6.21%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-17 13:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:27 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 13:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 13:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.39%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16% | 3.4% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |