La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Adrian Mannarino v Arthur Fery
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adrian Mannarino (Local)
Predicción 53.58%1.87momio equitativo
EV +0.723%
Ventaja +0.384%
Kelly +0.821%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.35%53.48%53.64%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.751.8859.88%56.77%57.14%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Fery (Visitante)
Predicción 46.42%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%46.52%46.36%48.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.042.052.1052.63%49.07%48.78%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV +0.723%E +0.384%K +0.821%G +0.006% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.885%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.885%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.79%E -6.21%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-17 13:23 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:27 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 13:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 13:23 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.39%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |
| Smarkets | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16% | 3.4% | 2026-06-17 13:31 |