مدرسة الاحتمالات

Adrian Mannarino v Arthur Fery

البداية: 2026-06-17 13:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Adrian Mannarino (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.58%1.87السعر العادل
EV +0.723%
الأفضلية +0.384%
Kelly +0.821%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.35%53.48%53.64%55.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.761.751.8859.88%56.77%57.14%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Fery (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.42%2.15السعر العادل
EV -2.51%
الأفضلية -1.19%
Kelly -2.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.30%46.52%46.36%48.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.042.052.1052.63%49.07%48.78%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV +0.723%E +0.384%K +0.821%G +0.006%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 13:30
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.885%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:31
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.885%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:30
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 13:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:30
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:30
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 13:30
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 13:30
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.79%E -6.21%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 13:30
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 13:30
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 13:30
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:24
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:30
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:31
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:30
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 13:30
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 13:23
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:31
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:27
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:30
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:31
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:30
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:31
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 13:24
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 13:23
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 13:30
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.39%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:30
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 13:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 13:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-17 13:30
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-17 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-17 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-17 13:31
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-17 13:30
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%3.4%2026-06-17 13:31