La scuola delle quote

Adrian Mannarino v Arthur Fery

Inizio: 2026-06-17 13:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adrian Mannarino (Casa)

Previsione 53.58%1.87quota equa
EV +0.723%
Vantaggio +0.384%
Kelly +0.821%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.35%53.48%53.64%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.761.751.8859.88%56.77%57.14%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Fery (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.42%2.15quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.30%46.52%46.36%48.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.042.052.1052.63%49.07%48.78%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV +0.723%E +0.384%K +0.821%G +0.006%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 13:30
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.885%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:31
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.885%E -0.478%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 13:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:30
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 13:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 13:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:30
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:30
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 13:30
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 13:30
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.79%E -6.21%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 13:30
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-17 13:30
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 13:30
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 13:24
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:30
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:30
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:31
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:30
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:30
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 13:30
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 13:23
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 13:31
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:27
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:25
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:30
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:31
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:30
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:31
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 13:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 13:24
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 13:23
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 13:30
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.60%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.39%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:30
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 13:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.53%E -6.30%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-17 13:30
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-17 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-17 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-17 13:31
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-17 13:30
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%3.4%2026-06-17 13:31