Logga in med Sole Account
Språk:Svenska
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Sebastian Baez
Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →
Matchresultat
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Hemma)
Prognos 71.20%1.40rättvist odds
EV -1.75%
Fördel -1.27%
Kelly -4.60%
Tillväxt +0.000%
med antagandet om högsta odds 1.38
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.49%71.24%70.97%73.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.331.341.3881.97%75.01%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Sebastian Baez (Borta)
Prognos 28.80%3.47rättvist odds
EV +3.69%
Fördel +1.02%
Kelly +1.42%
Tillväxt +0.052%
med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60
Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.53%28.76%29.03%31.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.213.163.6035.09%31.17%31.70%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Hemma): 71.20%; Sebastian Baez (Borta): 28.80%. För Sebastian Baez (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.47. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.69%.
Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)
Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta ▼ | Marginal | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.44%E -5.73%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +3.69%E +1.02%K +1.42%G +0.052% | 4.7% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -8.16%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +2.25%E +0.634%K +0.882%G +0.020% | 5.7% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.44%E -5.73%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.809%E +0.231%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.44%E -5.73%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.809%E +0.231%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.44%E -5.73%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.809%E +0.231%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.44%E -5.73%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.809%E +0.231%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.16%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.809%E +0.231%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 6.1% | 2026-11-02 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.07%E -0.609%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-11-02 13:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.58%E -7.54%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.07%E -0.609%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-11-02 12:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.36%E -0.696%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-11-02 13:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.46%E -1.80%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -3.51%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-11-02 12:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.88%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-11-02 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-11-02 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.73%E -5.14%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.95%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-11-02 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-02 12:40 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-02 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-02 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-02 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-02 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-11-02 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -11.72%E -9.45%K -48.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -6.39%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-11-02 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -7.26%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-11-02 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -1.75%E -1.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -7.54%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-11-02 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-11-02 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.88%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 12:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.60%E -3.43%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-02 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.83%E -2.45%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-02 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -8.98%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-02 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-11-02 10:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -8.16%E -6.32%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -9.27%E -2.94%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-02 12:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-02 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.17%E -2.33%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-02 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-11-02 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.59%EV -12.43%E -10.10%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -10.71%E -3.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-11-02 13:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.88%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.15%E -3.98%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-11-02 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.88%E -2.88%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.15%E -3.98%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-11-02 10:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.44%E -5.73%K -24.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -12.15%E -3.98%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-11-02 13:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.75%E -1.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-02 13:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.75%E -1.27%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-02 12:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.31%E -3.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.59%E -4.53%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-11-02 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.02%E -4.56%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -15.03%E -5.10%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-11-02 10:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.02%EV -13.14%E -10.77%K -59.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.98%EV -17.91%E -6.29%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt
Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.
Spelbörser (7)
| Spelbolag | Hemma | Borta | Marginal ▲ | Uppdaterat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-11-02 13:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-11-02 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-11-02 13:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.22% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.78% | 2.5% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57% | 2.9% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18% | 3.8% | 2026-11-02 13:30 |