Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benjamin Bonzi v Taylor Fritz

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

23%

77%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Prediction 22.62%4.42fair odd

EV +1.81%

Edge +0.402%

Kelly +0.517%

Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.05%22.81%22.58%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.604.144.204.5027.78%24.14%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Visit)

Prediction 77.38%1.29fair odd

EV -0.959%

Edge -0.749%

Kelly -3.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

74.75%77.19%77.42%78.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.181.221.221.2884.75%82.29%81.97%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Benjamin Bonzi (Local): 22.62%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 77.38%. For Benjamin Bonzi (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Coolbet🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.81%E +0.402%K +0.517%G +0.009%	1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.05%E -3.27%K -16.89%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-01 19:04
William Hill🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.81%E +0.402%K +0.517%G +0.009%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-01 19:00
888sport🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.81%E +0.402%K +0.517%G +0.009%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-01 19:05
DraftKings🎯	4.44I 22.52%NM 21.55%EV +0.452%E +0.102%K +0.131%G +0.001%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.45%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-01 19:00
FanDuel🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.453%E -0.103%K -0.133%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-01 19:04
SportsBet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.453%E -0.103%K -0.133%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.70%E -7.37%K -48.31%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-01 19:00
Sky Bet🎯	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.04%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 19:01
Paddy Power🎯	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.04%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-01 19:04
1xBet🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.72%E -0.632%K -0.823%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.05%E -3.27%K -16.89%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-01 19:10
Bet Right🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.72%E -0.632%K -0.823%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-01 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.72%E -0.632%K -0.823%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.36%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.85%E -0.905%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-01 19:05
Betway🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.85%E -0.905%K -1.18%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-01 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.83%E -3.93%K -20.99%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 19:10
Fanatics🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 19:10
PlayUp🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.98%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 19:05
GTbets🎯	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.57%EV -6.11%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 76.43%EV -0.959%E -0.749%K -3.43%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-11-01 19:00
theScore Bet🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-01 19:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.05%E -3.27%K -16.89%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-01 19:04
LeoVegas🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-01 19:10
betano_uk🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-01 19:05
Bet Victor🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-01 19:05
picklebet_au🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.63%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.60%E -4.59%K -25.46%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-11-01 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.16%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-01 19:08
ReBet🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.16%E -4.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.75%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-01 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.29%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.28%E -2.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 18:33
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -17.42%E -4.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -7.92%E -6.66%K -41.70%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-01 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -18.55%E -5.15%K -7.14%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.92%E -6.66%K -41.70%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-11-01 19:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%	1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%	11.8%	2026-11-01 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%	1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%	15.1%	2026-11-01 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%	1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%	15.1%	2026-11-01 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%	1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%	15.1%	2026-11-01 19:25
Matchbook◎	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%	1.13I 88.50%NM 73.90%	19.7%	2026-11-01 19:25
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%	1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%	100.0%	2026-11-01 19:03