StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Benjamin Bonzi v Taylor Fritz

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Benjamin Bonzi (Hemma)

Prognos 22.63%4.42rättvist odds
EV +4.79%
Fördel +1.03%
Kelly +1.32%
Tillväxt +0.063%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.63

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.58%22.78%22.51%25.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.604.194.284.6327.78%23.85%23.39%21.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Borta)

Prognos 77.37%1.29rättvist odds
EV -3.29%
Fördel -2.63%
Kelly -13.17%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.75%77.22%77.49%79.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.26%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Benjamin Bonzi (Hemma): 22.63%; Taylor Fritz (Borta): 77.37%. För Benjamin Bonzi (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.42. 2 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.63, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +4.79%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +4.79%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.063%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 20:10
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.85%E +0.411%K +0.528%G +0.010%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-01 19:04
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.414%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 19:04
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.414%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 19:00
Casumo🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 20:10
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.00%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 19:01
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.00%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 19:04
1xBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.68%E -0.623%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 19:10
GTbets🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.68%E -0.623%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.81%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.84%E -3.93%K -21.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.81%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 19:05
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.81%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.84%E -3.93%K -21.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 19:10
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 20:15
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 20:10
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.07%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 20:14
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 19:04
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-01 20:15
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 19:10
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 19:05
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 19:05
picklebet_au🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.60%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.13%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 19:08
ReBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.13%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.26%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.29%E -2.63%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 18:33
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -17.39%E -4.76%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -7.93%E -6.67%K -41.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -18.52%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.93%E -6.67%K -41.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 19:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%11.8%2026-11-01 19:10
Novig◎3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 74.68%14.5%2026-11-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%15.1%2026-11-01 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%15.1%2026-11-01 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%15.1%2026-11-01 19:25
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%1.13I 88.50%NM 73.90%19.7%2026-11-01 19:25