Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Benjamin Bonzi v Taylor Fritz

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

23%

77%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Benjamin Bonzi (Local)

Prévision 22.63%4.42cote équitable

EV +4.79%

Avantage +1.03%

Kelly +1.32%

Croissance +0.063%

avec la cote maximale 4.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

20.58%22.78%22.51%25.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

3.604.194.284.6327.78%23.85%23.39%21.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.37%1.29cote équitable

EV -3.29%

Avantage -2.63%

Kelly -13.17%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

74.75%77.22%77.49%79.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.26%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Benjamin Bonzi (Local) : 22.63% ; Taylor Fritz (Visiteur) : 77.37%. Pour Benjamin Bonzi (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.42. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.63, pour une espérance positive de +4.79%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local ▼	Visiteur	Marge	Mise à jour
DraftKings🎯	4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +4.79%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.063%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-01 20:10
Coolbet🎯	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +1.85%E +0.411%K +0.528%G +0.010%	1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-01 19:04
FanDuel🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.414%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-01 19:04
SportsBet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -0.414%E -0.094%K -0.122%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.71%E -7.38%K -48.37%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-01 19:00
Casumo🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
BetRivers🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
Grosvenor🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
TABtouch🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
Bally Bet🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
betPARX🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.55%E -0.355%K -0.461%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 20:10
Sky Bet🎯	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -2.00%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 19:01
Paddy Power🎯	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -2.00%E -0.462%K -0.600%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-01 19:04
1xBet🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.68%E -0.623%K -0.811%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-01 19:10
GTbets🎯	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.68%E -0.623%K -0.811%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-01 20:10
Bet Right🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -3.81%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.84%E -3.93%K -21.04%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-01 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.81%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-01 19:05
Betway🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.81%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-01 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.84%E -3.93%K -21.04%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 19:10
William Hill🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 20:15
888sport🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 20:10
Fanatics🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.94%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -6.07%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 20:14
theScore Bet🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.39%E -5.28%K -30.41%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 19:10
Tipico (DE)🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-01 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.77%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-11-01 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-01 19:04
PlayUp🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.07%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-01 20:15
LeoVegas🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-01 19:10
betano_uk🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-01 19:05
Bet Victor🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.47%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-01 19:05
picklebet_au🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.60%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.51%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-11-01 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.13%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-01 19:08
ReBet🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -15.13%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.16%E -5.97%K -35.80%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-01 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -16.26%E -4.39%K -6.02%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.29%E -2.63%K -13.17%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-01 18:33
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -17.39%E -4.76%K -6.56%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -7.93%E -6.67%K -41.75%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-01 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -18.52%E -5.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.93%E -6.67%K -41.75%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-11-01 19:10

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
Smarkets◎	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%	1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%	11.8%	2026-11-01 19:10
Novig◎	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%	1.17I 85.47%NM 74.68%	14.5%	2026-11-01 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%	1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%	15.1%	2026-11-01 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%	1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%	15.1%	2026-11-01 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%	1.15I 86.96%NM 75.53%	15.1%	2026-11-01 19:25
Matchbook◎	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%	1.13I 88.50%NM 73.90%	19.7%	2026-11-01 19:25